England’s First Past the Post Response to NATO

The old parties of the British establishment will soon belong to a bygone era, it’s clearly written in the survey polls measuring people’s voting intentions.

Evading Conscription

While Germany is gearing up for World War 3 following marching orders issued by foreign actors in the NATO alliance, England has the possibility to evade such destiny.

Looking at the opinion polls, it becomes evident that a populist party currently holding around five seats in Westminster is slated to win an overwhelming victory if a general election were held tomorrow, next week or in a month’s time. For this party to command the 326 seats necessary to hold the majority plus any number above that, all it takes is a supporter base of around 27% of the electorate. And as of the past few weeks it has an average of between 29 and 34 percent, the rating being consistent with all pollsters.

One obvious question arises: what will this mean for England in the context of a world war?

To Die for Europe, or Not to

Some people on the European continent will be shocked to discover that a populist party only needs 27% to form a majority government. They will consider it even more outrageous than the 52% majority that voted to leave the EU in 2016, and a great chorus of crickets might sound off when the realisation sets in that England could wave good-bye to obligations related to NATO that no majority voted for – and that with just twenty-seven percent!

A few thousand British soldiers scattered around eastern Europe might receive orders to board west-bound trains, and four Spitfires based in the wilderness might take off, do a U-turn in the sky, and fly home too.

In Europe, many scratching their head will be wondering how a popular vote of less than one third of the electorate can achieve this, but that’s how first past the post functions.

Challenging the German Government

Currently I’m relying on Mädel’s Teutonic looks and her charm to lure the Germans away from the Adenauer establishment still at large in Germany. Being European, the voting system is different, and not even a party wielding 42 percent of the votes would necessarily achieve half the parliamentary seats plus one to become a government, so all depends on her skills to overcome this inconvenience. On sending her to Germany in 2022, my plan was that you don’t need democracy to believe her, and if a democratically elected coalition stands in the way, she’ll know how to send it on through the door.

With political opponents in Germany being institutionally stigmatised, banned or indeed even arrested and imprisoned, she can count on the help of Alexandra who listens in. Then there’s Wolfgang, a captain of Intelligence who has his own connections and occasionally collects info from the odd V-Mann who’s crossed over.

Of-course she doesn’t leave an address on display and avoids announcing when and where the next presentation will take place, and this prevents the powers-that-be from catching up with her, Mädel always one step ahead and a fuming coalition in Berlin wondering in dismay why they’re losing support among the public.

Mind the Gap!

If Freundin succeeds in pulling Germany away from the train waiting to take the country to war for some other NATO member, then one day I should be receiving a delegation from a new government in Berlin, and if not, than I’ll have to sit World War Three out in the transit room.

Obviously I’m keeping an eye on events next door in England, and also across Hadrian’s Wall in Scotland, and the prospect of a different government run by people who have a track record of annoying Europe gives a satisfying feeling. Let’s face it, they were trying to tell the English in 2016 that 52 percent in a referendum is a minority while ‘remaining in Europe’ must be considered a binding commandment. They also tried abolishing the result by imposing a massive leave penalty – which still needs to be investigated.

As it stands now, a first past the post government needing only 27% of the popular vote could complete the better-outside-of-Europe process: the planes returning from Europe to Biggin Hill and the warships to their home ports in Albion, while men clad in khaki embark at Dunkirk sailing towards the White Cliffs of Dover.

Would I be sorry? No!